Statistician to do confidence interval analysis for sportsbetting projections

Job ID: 33123682

Budget: $30 – $250 USD

Hello,

I am looking for someone that is familiar with sports betting and has a comprehensive knowledge of mathematics.

I have some data posted for one player in the NBA. It is highlighted in yellow in the Google Sheets. On the left, I have the projection of how many points this will player will score in a given game, on the right is the actual score of how many points this player got.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1AKTkKqIZH5wJySdDiffjetzh0YBTuH6MLsyeq6ovbWI/edit#gid=35742608

I have a few questions.

Question 1: How do I analyze data where I have a prediction and final result to come up with an answer of how accurate I am with my projections/predictions? In Sheet 1, I took the difference between the two values and calculated the standard deviation of those results.

Question 2: If I make a prediction using my analysis that this player will score 15 pts, how do I calculate the % that this player will score 13pts+ based on the margin of error from previous projections?