Predict Global Political Events

I am seeking a seasoned political researcher to produce forward-looking insight on major international events. My priority is predictive analysis—clear, data-grounded forecasts that outline likely scenarios, time-frames, and potential ripple effects across regions.

Scope
• Blend quantitative indicators (polling, macro-economic data, military posture, sanctions, etc.) with qualitative sources (policy papers, diplomatic statements, expert interviews).


Deliverables
1. A concise executive brief (≈1,500 words) highlighting the top findings and headline predictions.
2. A supporting research dossier that details data sources, methodology, and reasoning.
3. Visual aids—charts, trend lines, or heat maps—to make the narrative immediately clear.

Acceptance Criteria
• All claims traceable to reputable, publicly verifiable sources.
• Forecast horizons stated explicitly (e.g., three, six, and twelve months).
• Clarity on assumptions and confidence intervals for each prediction.

If this aligns with your expertise in political science, international relations, or strategic intelligence, I look forward to your proposal describing your method, recent comparable work, and projected turnaround time.