Probability Theory Expert Needed
Budget: $10 – $30 USD
I'm very confused by something I found in a textbook, and at this point, I'm willing to pay someone smarter than me to explain it.
Please look at the two pages that I have attached.
Is this book wrong? In part 2B it gives some notional probabilities. In part 3A it says the probability that at least one of the six assumptions is invalid is the product (multiplication) of all of them - in this example 36.24%. BUT WOULDN'T THAT BE THE PROBABILITY OF ALL ASSUMPTIONS BEING TRUE? It even seems to give the correct answer in part 3B.
Can you please explain this to me like I'm five, and if it is correct or incorrect prove to me why using math and logic?
Thanks!
Please look at the two pages that I have attached.
Is this book wrong? In part 2B it gives some notional probabilities. In part 3A it says the probability that at least one of the six assumptions is invalid is the product (multiplication) of all of them - in this example 36.24%. BUT WOULDN'T THAT BE THE PROBABILITY OF ALL ASSUMPTIONS BEING TRUE? It even seems to give the correct answer in part 3B.
Can you please explain this to me like I'm five, and if it is correct or incorrect prove to me why using math and logic?
Thanks!