Indian Market Stock Predictor Using AI/ML

Job ID: 40159213

Budget: ₹12,500 – ₹37,500 INR

Project Title

AI/ML-Based Stock Price Prediction System for Indian Stock Market (NSE/BSE)

Project Description

I am looking to hire an experienced AI/ML developer to build an end-to-end stock price prediction system specifically for the Indian stock market (NSE & BSE) using cost-effective and preferably open-source resources.

The objective is to design a robust and scalable system that predicts short-term and medium-term stock price movements by combining:
• Historical price data from NSE/BSE
• Technical indicators
• Indian financial news and sentiment analysis
• Broader Indian market and sector signals

The solution must prioritize low operational cost, while maintaining strong predictive performance. It may use models such as OpenAI (ChatGPT API), Google Gemini, or equivalent open-source ML/NLP models only where they provide clear analytical value.



Scope of Work

1. Data Collection & Pipeline (India-Focused)

The freelancer will design an automated data ingestion and update system using Indian market data sources:

Market Data:
• Historical OHLCV data (Daily & Intraday)
• From sources such as:
• NSE India APIs / website
• BSE India
• Yahoo Finance (India tickers)
• Alpha Vantage (India support)
• Quandl / RapidAPI NSE feeds

Corporate & Market Events:
• Earnings announcements
• Corporate actions (dividends, splits, bonuses)
• RBI policy announcements
• Macroeconomic indicators (CPI, GDP, IIP)

News & Sentiment:
Scrape and analyze financial news from:
• Moneycontrol
• Economic Times
• Business Standard
• Livemint
• CNBC-TV18
• Reuters India

Sentiment & event tagging must focus on India-specific market drivers.



2. Feature Engineering

Technical Indicators:
• RSI
• MACD
• Bollinger Bands
• Moving Averages (SMA/EMA)
• VWAP
• Volume & Volatility metrics
• Support/Resistance detection

Sentiment & Event Features:
• Positive/Negative sentiment score per stock
• Event-based impact tagging (earnings, RBI policy, budget, sector news)
• News frequency & sentiment intensity

Market Context:
• NIFTY 50 / SENSEX movement
• Sectoral indices (Bank Nifty, IT, Pharma, FMCG, etc.)
• FII/DII flows (if available)



3. Model Development

Models may include:

Traditional ML:
• Random Forest
• XGBoost
• LightGBM

Deep Learning:
• LSTM / GRU
• CNN-LSTM hybrid
• Transformer-based time series (if feasible within budget)

NLP Models for Indian Financial News:
• FinBERT / IndicBERT
• HuggingFace financial models
• ChatGPT / Gemini APIs for:
• News summarization
• Sentiment classification
• Event extraction

Final model selection must be justified based on:
• Predictive accuracy
• Stability
• Cost-effectiveness
• Suitability for Indian market behavior



4. Training, Validation & Testing
• Proper time-series cross-validation
• Walk-forward validation
• No data leakage
• Evaluation metrics:
• RMSE
• MAE
• Directional Accuracy
• Risk-adjusted metrics (optional)



5. Prediction Output

System should generate:
• Next-day price forecast
• 3-day and 7-day forecast
• Probability of upside/downside
• Confidence score
• Buy/Hold/Sell signal (optional)



6. Visualization & Interface

Minimum requirements:
• Interactive charts:
• Actual vs Predicted price
• Confidence bands
• News sentiment overlay
• Exportable outputs:
• CSV
• PDF

Optional:
• Simple web dashboard using Streamlit or Flask
• Mobile-friendly view



7. Cost Optimization

The solution must:
• Prefer free or low-cost APIs
• Use open-source libraries:
• Python
• Pandas
• Scikit-learn
• TensorFlow / PyTorch
• Use paid APIs (ChatGPT/Gemini) selectively only where necessary



Deliverables
1. Fully functional ML pipeline
2. Clean and documented source code
3. Trained models
4. Data ingestion scripts
5. Model evaluation report
6. Deployment-ready setup
7. User guide



Preferred Tech Stack
• Python
• Pandas / NumPy
• Scikit-learn
• TensorFlow or PyTorch
• HuggingFace Transformers
• OpenAI / Gemini API (optional)
• Streamlit or Flask



Freelancer Requirements
• Proven experience in:
• Financial ML / Quant Models
• Indian stock market data (NSE/BSE)
• Time-series forecasting
• Financial NLP
• Experience building low-cost, scalable ML pipelines
• Strong documentation practices



Budget

Open to proposals.
Preference for:
• Modular build
• Phase-wise delivery
• Cost-optimized architecture



Timeline
• Phase 1: Data Pipeline + Baseline Model – 1–2 weeks
• Phase 2: Advanced ML + NLP – 2–3 weeks
• Phase 3: Dashboard + Optimization – 1–2 weeks



Bonus (Nice to Have)
• Backtesting engine
• Auto model retraining
• Portfolio-level predictions
• Telegram alerts for Indian stocks
• FII/DII and sector rotation analysis