Polymarket Crypto Prediction Formula Design
Budget: €3,000 – €5,000 EUR
Looking for a finance mathematician to build formulas that translate live crypto price moves into UP or DOWN probabilities on both Polymarket and Kalshi. The core idea is to treat price action through a time-linear compression lens and measure useful volatility differentials on 15-minute and hourly intervals, then map those signals to the binary contracts each exchange offers.
Your task is to turn that concept into solid, testable mathematics. I already have the intuition; I need you to formalise it, validate it statistically, + build the mathematic formulas.
Show me work that proves you are comfortable with quantitative finance or advanced maths. No generic cover letters are required—just evidence that your math is strong.
Deliverables I expect:
• A complete set of formulas with variable definitions and derivations
Once the math is watertight I will handle the engineering side myself (Python & C), so clarity and mathematical rigor are the primary success criteria.
You have to build multiple formulas with different purposes I got in head.
You will be rewarded by small payment + the bot itself to make work your liquidity.
You can expect ~2k$ each day for only Polymarket with a 5k$ liquidity bag...
ONLY BID IF YOU'RE VERY GOOD AT MATH THIS IS EXTREMELY COMPLEX
Your task is to turn that concept into solid, testable mathematics. I already have the intuition; I need you to formalise it, validate it statistically, + build the mathematic formulas.
Show me work that proves you are comfortable with quantitative finance or advanced maths. No generic cover letters are required—just evidence that your math is strong.
Deliverables I expect:
• A complete set of formulas with variable definitions and derivations
Once the math is watertight I will handle the engineering side myself (Python & C), so clarity and mathematical rigor are the primary success criteria.
You have to build multiple formulas with different purposes I got in head.
You will be rewarded by small payment + the bot itself to make work your liquidity.
You can expect ~2k$ each day for only Polymarket with a 5k$ liquidity bag...
ONLY BID IF YOU'RE VERY GOOD AT MATH THIS IS EXTREMELY COMPLEX